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Aayush Jindal

Key Highlights

  • The British Pound after a solid rise faced resistance near 146.70 against the Japanese Yen.
  • There are two important bullish trend lines with support around 145.00-20 on the 4-hours chart of GBPJPY.
  • Today in the UK, the British Retail Consortium (BRC) Like-For-Like Retail Sales for April 2017 registered a rise of 5.6%.
  • Today in the US, the NFIB Business Optimism Index for April 2017 will be released, which is forecasted to decrease from 104.7.

GBPJPY Technical Analysis

The British Pound was in a major uptrend against the Japanese Yen, as it traded above 144.00. Later, the GBPJPY pair found sellers and now may approach a major support near 145.00.GBPJPY Technical Analysis British Pound Japanese YenThe pair after trading close to the 146.70 faced resistance and moved down. It is currently trading below 146.50, and may approach the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last wave from 140.05 low to 146.68 high.Moreover, there are also two important bullish trend lines with support around 145.00-20 on the 4-hours chart. So, the 145.00 support zone holds a lot of significance for the current trend in GBPJPY. If the pair sustains a break, there can be another upside push above 146.70 in the near term.

UK’s BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales

Recently in the UK, the British Retail Consortium (BRC) Like-For-Like Retail Sales for April 2017 was released by the British Retail Consortium. The market was expecting the changes in the actual value of retail sales to decrease by around 1% in April 2017, compared with the same month a year ago.The actual result was much better, as there was an increase in the sales by 5.6%. The report added that “On a total basis, sales rose 6.3% in April, against flat growth in April 2016. The performance is positively distorted by the timing of Easter and the highest since April 2011, another Easter distortion. This pulls the 3-month average to 2.0%, above the 12-month average of 1.3%”.The GBPJPY pair gained pace after the release, and currently retesting the 146.60-70 resistance.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • Germany’s Industrial Production for March 2017 (MoM) - Forecast -0.5%, versus +2.2% previous.
  • Germany’s Trade Balance for March 2017 - Forecast €20B, versus €21B previous.
  • Germany’s Imports of goods and services March 2017 - Forecast +0.7%, versus -1.6% previous.
  • Germany’s Exports of goods and services March 2017 - Forecast +0.1%, versus +0.8% previous.
  • NFIB Business Optimism Index April 2017 - Forecast 103.5, versus 104.7 previous.
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